Long Term Investor Interests in Proposed Walgreen Stock Buybacks
The Shareholder Forum has been asked to define issues relating to
stock buyback commitments that should be considered in decisions about
a proposed merger of Walgreen Co. into Walgreens Boots Alliance. Since
addressing the interests of Walgreen shareholders in this case can be
expected to establish broadly applicable standards for evaluating
stock buyback policies of other companies, with or without related
merger transactions, we encourage anyone with corporate or fund
management responsibilities to participate.[1]
Preliminarily, discussions with Forum participants representing
various perspectives have suggested the following framework for an
investor’s analysis of buybacks in the context of Walgreen’s proposed
merger, based on the investor’s own risk and holding period
assumptions:
1. |
Calculated equity share of future enterprise
– A basic financial analysis of both the merger transaction and
projected buybacks is required to determine the ultimate
allocations of equity per share at the end of an investor’s
expected holding period, using ranges of assumptions about buyback
prices. |
2. |
Risk impact on earnings projections
– Assumptions must be made about the effects of reduced
stockholders equity on both (a) credit access and costs and (b)
ability of the enterprise to adapt to adversity and opportunity,
which can then be reflected in either operating projections or
risk discount for the present value of the enterprise at the end
of the investor’s holding period. |
3. |
Comparison of committed and opportunistic buybacks
– Assuming publicly reported buyback commitments will generate
higher stock purchase prices during the buyback period and
consequently lower future values, an investor must estimate the
relative benefits of this alternative based on its anticipated
holding period. |
Please offer your views of how this should be refined, and how it
should be applied specifically to the Walgreen situation.[2]
After learning the views of a broad range of long term investor
interests, the Forum will present the defined issues for comment by
Walgreen management and then invite questions and views of the
company's shareholders..
GL – October 23, 2014
Gary Lutin
Chairman, The Shareholder Forum
575 Madison Avenue, New York, New York 10022
Tel: 212-605-0335
Email:
gl@shareholderforum.com
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