NEW YORK (AP) -- Gaming a financial
statement to meet earnings expectations has its own colorful
nomenclature: cookie-jar accounting, channel stuffing and "the big
bath." If a company's earnings meet analyst estimates, the stock gets
boosted. If it doesn't, it's busted. But wise investors remember there
are many ways a company can prettify its earnings.
A study by independent research firm
RateFinancials, based in New York, concluded that nearly 33 percent of
Standard & Poor's 500 companies file financial statements that don't
accurately reflect their financial condition. Victor Germack,
RateFinancials president, wrote about the study under the headline, "How
Good are Those Earnings ... Really?"
A series of $1 billion-plus restatements,
including HealthSouth Corp., Computer Associates International Inc. and
the nation's largest insurer, American International Group Inc., have
driven that question home.
More restatements are coming. Fannie Mae
is expected to file a multibillion-dollar restatement once it untangles
it books. Even number-crunching tax preparer H&R Block Inc. is working
on a restatement.
Adjusting a company's finances to meet
expectations is called "earnings management" or "earnings smoothing." In
most cases, it's legal, if misleading.
The techniques involved "are endless,"
wrote John A. Tracy, author of 10 books on accounting and finance,
including the classic "How to Read a Financial Report."
"A business can engage in deferred
maintenance and not do normal things to keep its property and equipment
in tiptop shape," wrote Tracy, an emeritus professor at University of
Colorado. A company "could delay these costs until next year, thereby
not recording expenses this year, which boosts its bottom-line profit
for the year" he wrote. Or, it could put off employee training programs
or advertising outlays until the next year.
Other methods of tweaking the books are
more questionable.
For instance, there's channel stuffing,
when a company makes sales look better than they are by shipping
products to customers with the understanding those products can later be
returned, or bought at a deep discount, said Itzhak Sharav, an
accounting professor at Columbia University.
One of the most notorious channel
stuffers was former Sunbeam Corp. CEO Albert Dunlap. Sunbeam shipped
$1.5 million in barbecue grills to a distributor in March 1997. Although
all the grills were returned at the end of the summer, Sunbeam had
already booked the revenue. This was but one bit of Dunlap's accounting
artifice. Under an agreement with the Securities and Exchange
Commission, he later paid a $500,000 fine and said he will never again
hold a leadership role in a public company.
Another way to doll up the books is the
cookie jar reserve. Companies can put aside a reserve of cash when times
are good, then use it later.
Or they can take a bigger than needed hit
when times are bad. Telecom equipment maker Nortel Networks Corp. did
this when it took $18.4 billion charges for restructuring costs, bad
customer debts and obsolete inventory over three years at the end of the
telecom boom.
When it became clear that the reserves
were greater than they needed to be, the company strayed from accounting
rules and began dipping into them. Finance employees used the overstated
reserves, starting in 2002, to "close the gap" between actual earnings
and earnings targets, said a report by an outside law firm and
consulting company that Nortel released in January.
A corollary lesson to the Nortel story is
that companies can use accounting tactics to make one quarter, or one
year, look worse than it really was, often by putting aside reserves.
This is the practice called "the big bath." It's also very common for
companies to announce big fourth-quarter writedowns, taking charges for
restructurings planned the following year, to get the bad news out of
the way.
Analysts question companies whose
earnings seem as reliable as a collie.
"Be a little bit careful about giving too
much credit to companies that are too reliable in meeting the numbers,"
said David W. Tice, president of Behind the Numbers LLC, an
institutional research service. "Sometimes companies get a premium for
that because investors feel like they're not going to be disappointed."
Rewards in the market come from risk
taking. A wise investor knows there's always a chance of disappointment.