COVER STORY
Understanding Investor Behavior
It’s time for corporations to view
shareholders as customers. Data helps.
September 11, 2013 by
Judy Warner
The knot in the
stomach that begins to tighten early each Sunday evening for
Broadridge Financial Solutions’ Bob Schifellite is as predictable as
the ticking of the stopwatch in the 60 Minutes’ opening. Monday is
coming, and that’s when the big data game is on.
Bob
Schifellite |
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“Broadridge and its
broker-dealer clients actively process a mountain of data that is
unique,” Schifellite, president of the investor communications
solutions division of Broadridge, says during a telephone interview.
“Even with all of the caveats of protecting individual privacy and of
limitations on its use, what we have access to is just astounding. We
process important information about a majority of beneficial
shareholders—approximately 121 million of them. We know them by name,
what they own, and how to reach them. We also know about their proxy
voting behavior—how they typically vote, if they vote, when they vote,
and what information they receive and respond to. We know if they use
a financial advisor or whether they are using a retail online account.
“That’s powerful
information,” he adds. “The knot in my stomach is the anticipation
that comes from making sense of all this information, and working with
our clients and partners to appropriately create value from it while
carefully safeguarding the privacy of investors’ personally
identifiable information. Ultimately, this adds value to the
communications services we can provide.”
In this era of data
mining, Broadridge executives set out more than a year ago to better
understand shareholder voting trends and analysis. “We knew we wanted
to focus on governance because that is the right area, but the
challenge is how to use the data to improve governance,” Schifellite
says.
Led by Broadridge
CEO Richard Daly, Schifellite and other top executives began talking
both to clients and other stakeholders in corporate governance to map
out and understand what’s of value to corporate boards and management.
Schifellite described one eureka moment when, following the
re-election of President Barack Obama, a corporate secretary cited the
campaign’s use of data to pinpoint specific voting behaviors. Making
sure individual voters were reached by campaign volunteers and driven
to the polls on Election Day was just one example of the level of
precision that led to a big win for the Democrats. In fact, Obama’s
data analytics team, led by then-30-year-old Dan Wagner, was largely
credited with producing the re-elected president’s five million-vote
margin of victory over Republican challenger Mitt Romney. (Since the
election, Wagner has formed a consulting company, Civis Analytics,
based in Chicago with an office in Washington, D.C.)
Like the analytics
that allowed Wagner’s team to better understand the habits of voters,
Broadridge technology enables analysis of proxy voting. It powers
services for more than 90 percent of public companies and mutual funds
in North America, and processes more than $4.5 trillion in
fixed-income and equity trades per day. It tabulates the voting
results of some 600 billion shares at more than 12,000 annual
meetings. The opportunity, as Schifellite explains, is to mine this
aggregated shareholder voting information to better understand the
mind-set and habits of today’s investors. Providing insights to public
company mangers and directors can ultimately lead to improved
shareholder engagement.
To that end,
Broadridge has partnered with PwC to produce reports called ProxyPulse
that analyze and synthesize vast amounts of shareholder voting data.
The reports—published on the website ProxyPulse.com—study stock
ownership and voting results by company size as the proxy season
progresses. Based on its analysis of 2,858 shareholder meetings from
Jan. 1 through May 23, 2013, ProxyPulse reports that voting outcomes
vary by company size and can be affected by ownership mix,
communications approach, and ongoing shareholder dialogue. For
instance, institutional shareholder ownership is highest at large-cap
companies and lowest at micro caps. Overall, 71 percent of “street”
shares were voted. (Approximately 75 percent to 80 percent of all
shares are held in street name.). Of these votes, 62 percent were
voted by institutions and 9 percent by retail. The percentage of
retail versus institutional votes is just one data point worth further
examination. (“Institutions” refers to mutual funds, public and
private pension funds, hedge funds, investment managers, managed
accounts, and vote agents. The term “retail” refers to individuals
whose shares are held beneficially in brokerage accounts.)
Broadridge data
show, for example, that retail shareholders are more important to
company governance than many executives realize. As a group, retail
shareholders own a larger stake than some have supposed, and their
voting is more consistent in supporting management. Such an
understanding of the voting base, just like in politics, can help
corporations anticipate and communicate before a problem leads to a
proxy proposal. “A more complete view of all shareholders allows for
better decision making,” says Schifellite. “We think we are well
positioned to start to do some things to help companies get a better
understanding of their shareholders.”
One little-known
metric is that the split between institutional and retail ownership
among all firms whose meeting took place this past proxy season was 67
percent to 33 percent, respectively— revealing a dramatic difference
from the perception that the vast majority of shares are owned by big
investors like TIAA-CREF, Vanguard, CalPERS, and CalSTRS, while retail
has little influence. The question is, why does such understanding
matter? “It matters,” Schifellite responds, “because of two phenomena.
A more complete view of all shareholders is better than a view of one
segment of the shareholder base. Institutional shareholders vote at a
high rate. Retail shareholders vote at a much lower rate and tend to
vote with their feet. If retail shareholders are unhappy, they will
sell the stock. But if they hold the stock and you can engage them,
many will vote out of a sense of responsibility and because they
believe it is important for their voice to be heard. Retail
shareholders often have a longer-term perspective, and they are far
less likely to use the proxy to invoke change.” The opportunity is to
better customize communications between company leaders and
shareholders to get more shareholders to vote. With the advent of say
on pay and majority voting, in addition to momentum building around
issues such as corporate political spending, shareholder
communications should be a big concern to boards and CEOs.
“There is a saying,”
says Charles V. Callan, senior vice president of regulatory affairs at
Broadridge, “that 70 is the new 50. That’s true at least for director
elections and pay proposals. If you get less than 70 percent support
but still a clear majority, proxy advisors and active institutions may
begin to look at the company differently.” Proxy advisor firms such as
Institutional Shareholder Services and Glass, Lewis & Co. are more
likely to scrutinize the company compensation plans that receive less
than 70 percent approval. In such cases, where shareholder support is
on the cusp, retail shareholder votes can change the outcome.
Directors need ask themselves whether the company anticipates a close
vote on a sensitive issue, and to be mindful of situations where
additional outreach to retail voters might make a difference.
Tools for Engagement
In addition to its ongoing analysis of shareholder voting behavior and
trends, Broadridge hosts shareholder forums that are growing in
popularity. Usually conducted in conjunction with a virtual annual
meeting, the shareholder forum is a tool that allows management to ask
specific questions of their investors. While most companies hold
shareholder forums in conjunction with the proxy, Broadridge
recommends using them throughout the year. “Using technology and doing
surveys of investors around say on pay, for example, can help
formulate best practices while obtaining some very good direction in
advance of the voting,” Schifellite says. “This does come down to
using big data to make better decisions. With bigger and better tools
such as those afforded by big data, better decisions are empowered by
better information.”
The Coca-Cola Co.
offers an example of big data at its best. As a 127-year-old company
with a powerful, engaging brand, it was seeking ways to enhance its
shareholder engagement. Three years ago, the global beverage marketer
partnered with Broadridge and began using the shareholder forum as an
additional means of engaging shareholders in connection with its
annual meeting. Shareholders can participate in the forum and learn
more about the company. They can watch video, review proxy materials,
vote their shares, respond to an online survey, and submit a question
prior to the annual meeting. After the annual meeting, shareholders
who have registered for the forum receive responses to common
questions submitted through the forum. This year, more than 1,000
shareholders participated in Coca-Cola’s shareholder forum.
Virtual shareholder
meetings are also growing in popularity, matched by increasing
participation in the annual meeting. Quite simply, in addition to the
traditional in-person meeting, companies that allow investors to
attend via computer have expanded participation. It is time, both
Schifellite and Callan say, that companies begin to more proactively
view shareholders as customers.
“What do investors
look like, and how do they vote? We are starting to get data on that.
For one large company, we started looking at share ranges and
identified large holders [investors that own 10,000 shares or more].
In a couple of instances, when the company reached out to these
shareholders by sending a proxy reminder by priority mail, the
participation rate was extraordinarily high. To me that suggests,
‘Wow, if you show just a little bit of TLC, that the company cares how
you vote and that your vote matters to me,’ you get a better response.
We just started testing these and other highly effective and efficient
strategies,” Callan says. Personal calls from the CEO, reminding
investors to vote, function much like the calls on Election Day—but
better.
Broadridge is
piloting a program that enables issuers to target outreach to specific
shareholders based on their previous voting behavior and/or
shareholder thresholds. The pilot is focused on electronic
communications (e-mail) and paper delivery (ranging from standard mail
to overnight packages). This program enables issuers to:
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Use
behavioral data to inform the development of proxy engagement
strategies.
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Target
very specific populations with reminder communications.
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Measure shareholder response to reminder communications.
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Build
a foundation for capturing data patterns and trends specific to
shareholders’ proxy voting behavior year over year.
Make Voting Easier
“As we continue to dig into this,” says Schifellite, “some of the
things we’re thinking about are whether there are different voting
trends depending on your level of share ownership. Are there
differences in voting behavior between genders? Do investors react
differently based on what information is provided and how that
information is delivered?”
When Broadridge
surveyed investors in the past, it has asked, “What do you look at—the
full proxy versus the annual report?” As it turns out, the “eyeball
count” is high for specific parts of the reports. Investors are most
likely to look at the letters of the chairman and the CEO, and they
look at the Compensation Disclosure and Analysis (CD&A) and the
Management Disclosure and Analysis (MD&A).
Management and
boards can be more proactive about using technology to engage
shareholders, leveraging the same kind of care and communications
techniques for shareholders as they do for their customers,
Schifellite believes. “Thinking about shareholders as a constituency
comparable to your customers is the wave of the future,” he notes.
Using technology to make it easier to vote—on smartphones and iPads,
for instance—is an important component.
Two proxy seasons
ago, mobile voting was allowed for the first time. “Voting on mobile
devices may, by next proxy season, usurp [landline] telephone
voting—it continues to grow at a rapid pace every year,” Schifellite
says. Moreover, one-third of the investors who voted using their
mobile phones were voting for the first time.
“That’s powerful,”
Callan says. Demographic analysis of voting shows that older investors
with larger stakes are less likely to vote via mobile. “We need to
bring this generation of voters into the fold and go to where they are
with mobility, while at the same time creating good habits in their
rights of owners. We’re asking ourselves if the investing habits of
20-somethings differ from the investing habits of 60-somethings.”
Another cut on
shareholders is the duration of their ownership. Investors who have
been owners for 10-plus years have shown some disdain for new
technologies. Other questions explore the correlation of data and
sentiment: How does the appreciation of stock price play into voting
habits? When earnings are announced, does it help or hurt voting? How
are investors reacting? What prompts them to buy more stock?
Broadridge has also
found that people in a specific ZIP code are more likely to vote at a
certain time. “If men and women of a certain age are more likely to
vote on a Saturday morning, for instance, doesn’t it make sense to
communicate to them on Friday night or even earlier on that Saturday
morning? It’s all about getting more inclusion and more input for
boards,” Schifellite maintains.
Developing fluency
for multichannel marketing—putting information such as proxies and
10-Ks where people now go—is a growing imperative. Drawing investors
to a specific website to download information is a challenge. Yet
posting a proxy on social media or a newsstand accessible by an Apple
or Kindle device or through Amazon where people are shopping may be a
more efficient way to reach them. Says Schifellite: “Would you be more
apt to click on and read a letter if it showed up on your Kindle?
Technology has greatly reduced the cost of outreach. Ten or 15 years
ago, a communication to shareholders from the CEO once a year might
have sufficed, but today the cost of that communication is so much
lower. With big data, we are developing the tools and insights to
better engage all investors in the governance process.”
© 2012
National Association of Corporate Directors. |
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