Can
America’s Companies Survive America’s Most Aggressive Investors?
So-called activist
investors are increasingly gaining control of legacy corporations,
forcing them to trim payrolls and downsize research operations—and,
quite possibly, damaging the entire economy.
WILMINGTON, Del.—Ron Ozer was thrilled to get a job with DuPont, the
two-centuries-old chemical company, when he finished his Ph.D. from
Cornell in 1990. It was the place to go for young, ambitious
chemists; it offered salary and benefits so generous that some people
called it “Uncle Dupey.” For 26 years, he invented things for DuPont,
filing patent after patent, working on renewable plastic bottles and
polymers from the company’s Experimental Station, a research lab where
Kevlar, Neoprene, and nylon were all invented.
Then,
in January of this year, he was abruptly fired, along with hundreds of
other employees at the Experimental Station, part of a company-wide
wave of 1,700 layoffs, one-third of DuPont’s Delaware workforce.
Globally, DuPont cut
10 percent of its workforce,
or 5,000 people in early 2016.
The
cuts came as DuPont prepared to merge with another legacy chemical
behemoth, Dow Chemical Co., by early 2017. The merger, which is
awaiting approval from regulators, was prompted, Wall Street analysts
say, by a
very public campaign by the hedge-fund investor Nelson
Peltz and his company Trian Fund Management. Trian, which was DuPont’s
fifth-largest shareholder, in
early 2015 said it wanted DuPont to double its share price and cut $4
billion from its business, according to
filings by Trian. Trian
publicly
demanded that the company cut
costs, and threatened to convince DuPont shareholders to vote out
members of the company’s board supportive of key executives. Carry out
our demands, Trian essentially
said, or we will gain control
of your company and change it without your input. (Through a
spokeswoman, Trian declined to comment for this article.)
DuPont
is one of dozens of American companies that have abandoned a long-term
approach to doing business after being the target of so-called
activist investors. These investors buy up shares of a company and
attempt to maximize the returns to their shares, usually by replacing
members of the board of directors with hand-picked candidates who will
push the company to cut costs. Activity by such investors has
skyrocketed of late. In a 20-month stretch in 2005 and 2006, there
were only 52 activist campaigns, according to John C. Coffee, a
professor at Columbia University Law School. Between 2010 and early
2014, by contrast, there were 1,115 activist campaigns. “Hedge-fund
activism has recently spiked, almost hyperbolically,” Coffee writes in
a
2016 paper, “The Wolf at The
Door: The Impact of Hedge Fund Activism on Corporate Governance.”
These
campaigns are damaging to the long-term outlook of individual
companies like DuPont and also to America’s economy more generally.
They often result in big cuts to research and development, substantial
reductions in the workforce, and a focus on outcomes—in particular
short-term profit—that hurt a company’s ability to survive in the
long-term. The threat of activism affects companies across the
economy: Even public companies not targeted by activists often change
their behavior and cut costs to avoid becoming a target. This may be
one of the reasons why America is
slipping in funding research
and development projects when compared with other countries.
“You
have to look after the goose that lays the golden egg,” Anne Simpson,
the senior portfolio manager at California Public Employees’
Retirement System (CalPERS), told me. CalPERS owns shares in DuPont,
and opposed the Trian actions. “Cutting R&D can make everything look
sparkly and bright for a while, but if you’re like us, and looking
decades into the future, you won’t generate new products.”
Though
he initially lost a battle to replace four members of DuPont’s board
of directors with people of his choosing, Peltz has succeeded in
changing the company. Trian seems to have convinced DuPont
shareholders and executives that the company needs to focus on making
more money. Beginning in late 2015, shortly after Peltz’s campaign to
“optimize
stockholder value,” DuPont made a number of changes.
DuPont’s CEO Ellen Kullman, a company veteran, abruptly resigned. The
new CEO, Ed Breen, is a veteran of dismantling large conglomerates,
and plans to merge DuPont with Dow and then split the giant company
into three different parts, a split Peltz had
long wanted. The changes mean cutting back on
research-and-development costs (R&D)—most significantly with the
closure of the research lab
that employed Ron Ozer—and eliminating certain departments, and
slashing thousands of jobs. “This company is over 200 years old, and
this guy who has nothing to do with the industry has basically got
people on the board slashing R&D, just pumping money out of the
company,” William Lazonick, an economist at the University of
Massachusetts-Lowell, told me. “And none of it is illegal.”
In an
email, DuPont told me that its management and board, not Trian,
conceived of the merger. A company spokesman contested the idea that
the moves had anything to do with Trian. But just about everyone else
I talked to said that it was widely accepted on Wall Street that the
changes were directly responsive to Peltz’s pressure.
“It’s
a game. These activist investors decide to step in and create a
short-term action that will cause the stock to go up.”
This
story has played out at many other companies. Apple, one of America’s
best-known innovators, recently battled activist investor Carl Icahn,
who wanted the company to
return more cash to
shareholders. Icahn also targeted Xerox Corp, which at his urging
split into
two companies, cut more than
5,000 jobs over six months, and slashed costs by
$700 million. In 2015, the
activist investor William Ackman acquired a $5.5 billion stake in
Mondelez International, the maker of Oreos and Ritz crackers, and
pushed the company to
cut costs significantly.
Mondelez itself was created when Trian
pushed Kraft Foods to spin off
its snack-food business from its grocery business. Also, the New York
hedge fund Starboard Value targeted Wausau Paper, leading to the
closing of a Wisconsin paper mill and the
bankrupting of a small town
nearby.
Sometimes, activists can improve companies that are floundering. But
what’s most frustrating to Ozer is that DuPont was performing well
before Trian took over. Between the time Ellen Kullman became CEO and
the time Trian waged the proxy battle, the company’s total shareholder
returns had increased
256 percent. The company
out-performed the Standard & Poor’s 500-stock index, and was already
cutting $2 billion in costs. But Trian and, ultimately, the DuPont
board, were not content with those numbers. They wanted to see even
bigger returns. And that came directly at the expense of people like
Ron Ozer and the research he was doing.
“The
desire to get a faster return is hurting long-term research,” Ozer
told me. “Nelson Peltz may be able to buy another Rolls Royce, but
that’s not going to help the economy.”
* * *
Ask
business owners of a century ago about activist investors and they’d
have had no idea what you were talking about. When public corporations
became popular in America in the early 20th century, they issued stock
to tens of thousands of investors, who themselves had little interest
in weighing in on how to run the company, according to Lynn Stout, a
Cornell professor and the author of The Shareholder Value Myth: How
Putting Shareholders First Harms Investors, Corporations, and the
Public. Shareholders also had less of a singular interest in
getting big returns. At the time, the thinking was that companies had
a purpose beyond making money for shareholders; they existed to
provide jobs, serve their customers, and even help society, all the
while doing well by their investors. Companies helped society, and
that, in part, is what investors were buying a piece of.
But
since that time, there’s been a change in thinking about the purpose
of a company, Stout said. Beginning with a 1970
Milton Friedman essay in
The New York Times Magazine arguing that a corporation’s only
responsibility was to increase profits for shareholders, directors
abandoned the idea that companies existed for the good of employees,
customers, shareholders, and society. A corporation existed, the
argument went, to make money for its shareholders. These ideas were
further developed by the so-called Chicago School of economics, which
believed that principles of economics could be applied to managing
corporations. As the Chicago School came to dominate mainstream
economic thinking, the idea that corporations should only have
economic motives was taught in business schools around the country,
creating a generation of CEOs who sought to improve shareholder value
above all else, according to Stout. Today, the directors of many
companies are pushed to maximize shareholder value, or face lawsuits
from investors who say they’re not running the company correctly,
Lawrence Hamermesh, a professor of corporate and business law at
Widener University, told me.
Activist investors believe they know how to unlock shareholder value
better than a company’s board or directors do. They operate by doing
huge amounts of research about a company, and coming up with better
ways to increase the company’s share price. Sometimes, their plans
result in stronger, more transparent companies. Yet, sometimes, these
methods include cutting costs so that a company’s profits are higher
but its long-term viability is at risk, and then selling the stock.
Companies often resist moves by activist investors, but the investors
have gotten more powerful in recent years for a variety of reasons.
Regulatory changes have made it easier for the investors to
communicate with other shareholders and advocate for changes in the
company. And activists manage an increasing amount of money, allowing
them to threaten bigger in bigger companies.
(Lucas Jackson /
Reuters) |
In
1992, for instance, the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) cut
back on rules that prohibited shareholders like hedge funds from
communicating with others during a proxy contest. Prior to this rule
change, hedge funds would have to file any information they wanted to
share with other shareholders to the SEC for review. After 1992, they
could lobby private investors and embark on public campaigns through
advertisements and speeches without SEC oversight, according to
a paper by Brian R. Cheffins,
a professor at the University of Cambridge and John Armour, a
professor at Oxford. Then, in 1996, Congress passed the National
Securities Market Improvement Act, which opened the door for
institutional investors such as pension funds and university
endowments to invest in hedge funds. That dramatically increased
investments in hedge funds; in 1993, according to Cheffins and Armour,
5 percent of hedge fund assets were institutional, but by 2001, 25
percent of hedge fund assets were institutional.
In
2003, the SEC made another change, requiring that institutional
investors
disclose how they voted during
company elections about governance, and outlining ways in which the
investors had to ensure the vote was in the best interest of clients.
Such institutional investors did not have the capacity to do in-depth
research on governance matters for every company in which they
invested, so they outsourced such decisions to so-called proxy
advisory firms such as Glass-Lewis and Institutional Shareholder
Services. (Stout calls Institutional Shareholder Services “the most
powerful institution no one has ever heard of.”) Such proxy advisory
firms tend to support shareholder activist campaigns, according to
Coffee, and often side with hedge funds, rather than company
leadership, in proxy battles.
The
biggest reason activist funds have gained so much power in the last
decade, though, can be tied to the recessions of the 21st century.
After the 2001 dot-com bubble burst and then again after the housing
bubble in 2007, investors who lost money during the recession needed
to play catch-up and earn back the money they had lost. These mutual
fund managers and institutional investors such as pension funds turned
to private equity and hedge fund investors, who said they could help.
In 2015, for example, public pension funds put 8.3 percent of their
portfolios into hedge funds, according to the 2016
Prequin Global Hedge Fund Report,
up from 5.7 percent of their portfolio in 2008. Around 420 public
pension funds are actively investing in hedge funds.
“Hedge
funds promised that they could beat the market, and help these
[pension and other large institutional] funds catch up on big
liabilities they were sitting on,” David Webber, an expert in
securities law at Boston University, told me. Many such institutional
investors funds, desperate for higher earnings, believed them.
These
investments mean that hedge funds have more money to play with, which
allows them to buy up more shares and force companies to listen to
their demands. With more money to invest, they can also target bigger
companies. A decade ago, no one thought hedge funds would be able to
influence companies such as General Electric or DuPont, because the
companies’ market values were too high, and it would be too expensive
to buy a controlling interest, according to Douglas Chia, the
executive director of the Governance Center at The Conference Board,
which recently published
a piece, “Is Short-Term Behavior Jeopardizing the Future
Prosperity of Business?” Now, he told me, “these funds have grown to
the point where they’re able to buy up meaningful stake in the
company’s stock.” In 2013, almost one-third of activist campaigns
focused on companies with a market capitalization of more than $2
billion, according to Coffee.
Activist investors have some supporters. Lucian Bebchuck, a Harvard
professor who is known as one of the most devout defenders of activist
shareholder campaigns,
says that activist
interventions target underperforming companies, and that they improve
the company’s performance in the long-run. “Policymakers and
institutional investors should not accept the validity of the frequent
assertions that activist interventions are costly to firms and their
shareholders in the long term,” he writes, in a
2015 paper, “The Long-Term
Effects of Hedge Fund Activism.”
Even
some CEOs say that activists have a positive side, namely, that they
force companies to be more transparent and communicative with their
shareholders. The head of insurance giant AIG, for example,
said earlier this year that
investors such as Carl Icahn have forced the company to change the way
they report their financials, resulting in more clarity.
A DuPont facility
in Delaware (Tim Shaffer / Reuters) |
And
it’s true that hedge-fund activism isn’t the only reason there’s a
spike in short-term thinking in corporate America. Company executives
and mutual fund managers also receive bonuses when a stock performs
well, even if that’s simply because the company has slashed costs, not
actually become a stronger company. This began in 1993, when Congress
capped executive salary and companies began to compensate them with
stock options. It’s not just CEOs who are increasingly focused on
short-term profits; even pension-fund managers feel pressured to
report higher earnings every quarter, Simpson, of CalPERS, told me.
Many shareholders, too, are now looking for a quick return. In the
1960s, the average holding period on the New York Stock Exchange was
eight years. It’s since dropped to about
eight months.
Data
suggests that, on the whole, activist investors are not good for
employees or for the economy.
As a
result, a whole industry has emerged in which Wall Street analysts and
everyday investors monitor how a company’s stock performs from quarter
to quarter. Now, companies set quarterly-earnings forecasts, and are
pressured to meet these forecasts or face the wrath of analysts who
will advise clients to sell the company’s stock—or a campaign from
activist investors. This encourages managers to do what they can to
increase profits in just one quarter. One
survey by McKinsey & Company
and Canada Pension Plan Investment Board, found that a majority of
executives said they would not be willing to accept “significantly”
lower quarterly earnings for an investment that would boost profits by
10 percent over the next three years.
But
it’s activist investors who have really pushed short-term thinking and
figured out how to profit from it, according to Stout. And data
suggests that, on the whole, activist investors are not good for
employees or for the economy. Companies targeted by activist investors
saw employment drop by 4 percent between 2008 and 2013, while all
companies on average grew employment nine percent, on average,
according to a
2015 study, “Hedge Fund Activism: Preliminary Results and
Some New Empirical Evidence,” by Yvan Allaire, executive chair of the
Institute for Governance of Private and Public Organizations, a
Canadian think tank that works on governance issues. Those who had
specifically been targeted by activists advocating for cost reduction
saw employment shrink 20 percent.
Of
course, what this means is that these efforts undermine the
livelihoods of thousands who work at these companies. As Allaire puts
it, activists’ interventions are often merely a “wealth transfer to
shareholders from the company’s employees.” But the problem extends
even beyond those directly affected, to the health and ingenuity of
the company as a whole.
* * *
America’s big companies have fostered innovation for much of the
country’s history. Products that are now essential parts of modern
life—the microwave, the washing machine, the telephone—all were
improved upon or invented in labs at companies such as Raytheon,
General Electric, and Bell Labs.
One of
the companies that added the most to American innovation was DuPont.
It developed polymers and compounds including Freon, Neoprene, nylon,
Lycra, and Kevlar, to name a few. “DuPont alone has significantly
contributed to the way [America works],” Jay Rao, a Babson professor
who studies innovation, told me. DuPont was started when Pierre Samuel
du Pont de Nemours decided to leave France in 1799 in the aftermath of
the French Revolution. Research and development was important to him
even then; Du Pont and his sons considered eight different businesses
when they arrived in the United States, but only one succeeded: a
gunpowder business, according to the Hagley Museum & Library, a
Wilmington museum dedicated to the history of the DuPont company.
Thanks to spending on research and development, Du Pont and his sons
were able to transform that gunpowder business into a more general
chemical company. There were few places in the 21st century that spent
as much time and money on research as DuPont. “DuPont's success in the
20th century has been made possible by innovative science,” the
company’s 1994
annual report reads. “We are also maintaining our
commitment to discovery research, which is essential to our future.”
.
Spools of Kevlar
in a DuPont plant in Virginia (Steve Helber / AP) |
Yet
this changed after the battle with Trian. A decade ago, Dupont’s
shares were trading at $27 a share. That started to climb up in the
aftermath of the recession; between early 2009 and early 2015, the
company’s share price increased by 210 percent. (For comparison, the
S&P 500 increased 140 percent over the same time period.) By 2015,
shares were trading at $65. Despite this climb, Trian, in a 2015
presentation to shareholders, said it believed DuPont
shareholders could be making more money. This despite the fact that
shareholders had made $2.13 per share in 2009, $3.66 per share in
2010, $4.32 per share in 2011, and more than $3.77 per share in every
subsequent year. (Trian owned 24.6 million shares of DuPont stock in
early 2015, valued at around $1.9 billion.) Investors had seen
earnings per share grow around 3 percent a year in 2013, 2014, and
2015. Yet Trian wanted more: It wanted to see earnings per share grow
12 percent a year.
“There
is more value to be unlocked,” Trian wrote, in the presentation,
adding that, in its view, DuPont had $2 billion of excessive corporate
costs a year. Trian took particular offense at the $5 billion DuPont
had spent over in agriculture research and development over the last
five years with “no new biotech traits, of significance, discovered.”
DuPont’s 2016 annual report indicates the company’s changing attitude
towards research and development, a change spurred by Trian. In the
report, the company says its R&D objectives were not solely focused on
research, but also to “drive revenue and profit growth for the
company, thereby delivering sustainable returns to our shareholders.”
This focus on shareholder returns have since showed up in the
company’s priorities. In recent years, cuts to research and
development have been significant. The company
announced in February that it would spend about $1.7
billion on R&D in 2016. In 2014, it had spent $2.1 billion, or 20
percent more.
Ron
Ozer says he noticed interest in research and innovation decline over
his time at DuPont. At DuPont and many other American research
companies, scientists used to be able to embark on projects because
they were scientifically important or interesting, even if they
weren’t obviously profitable. This led to discoveries that helped
advance science, and in many cases also proved quite lucrative. “At
one time, the research was more academic, with people doing things
that might not have an obvious application,” he said. “As time went on
there was more expectation that the research have a good profit
objective.”
DuPont
isn’t the only business that has rolled back R&D spending after being
the target of an activist investor. According to the Allaire study,
research-and-development expenditures plummet among companies targeted
by activists. On average, companies increased research and development
as a percentage of sales to 7.65 percent in 2013, from 6.54 percent in
2009, according to the study. Those that had been targeted by
activists decreased that spending to 8 percent from 17.34 percent.
That data could illustrate that some companies had invested too
extensively in R&D, and that the activists were right to adjust that.
But such drastic cuts to R&D spending have a big impact.
“It’s
a game. These activist investors decide to step in and create a
short-term action that will cause the stock to go up,” Bill George, a
Harvard fellow and the former CEO of Medtronic, told me. “But there’s
a real problem when companies are pressured not to put money into
research, because America's competitive strength is based on
research.”
Companies may be making cuts beyond R&D spending as a reaction to
activist investors. According to a
Wall Street Journal
analysis, companies in the S&P
500 targeted by activists increased spending on dividends and buybacks
between 2003 and 2013, while cutting spending on plants and equipment
over the same time period. Spending on buybacks increases a company’s
share price, but is essentially sleight-of-hand, leading to no new
tangible equipment or research at a company.
Indeed, some in the corporate world fear that this focus on the
short-term will have ripple effects on the U.S. economy. Lawrence
Fink, the chief executive of BlackRock, which is the world’s biggest
investor, with $4.6 trillion under management, expressed concerns
about this in November 2015 in an
interview with the Harvard
Business Review. “A company can stop R&D and show fabulous
short-term results,” he said. “But over the long cycle, that’s
devastating for the company and, if it’s American, probably for the
United States as well.”
Already, there are signs that America is losing its research &
development edge.
A study of more than 1,000
U.S. firms with at least one patent found that big firms have
significantly reduced their investment in research since 1980, and
that they are more focused on developing existing patents (the D of
R&D) than on inventing new products. The U.S. ranks 10th globally in
another key metric: R&D spending as a percentage of the gross domestic
product, according to the
National Science Foundation.
It has been slipping in this ranking in recent years, the NSF says.
While U.S. companies cut investments in science, those in other
countries continue to invest in research and development. Chinese
businesses spent
79 percent more on research and development in 2013 than
they had in 2009, and Korean firms spent 55 percent more. Yet U.S.
firms increased their R&D funding by only 7 percent over the same time
period.
“There
are fewer and fewer executives who are willing to spend more on R&D
and long-term returns,” Rao said.
Cutting back on research and development might be profitable for a
company, but it has a social cost, according to Coffee, the Columbia
professor. When products are invented, sometimes new companies are
spun off to market and develop those products. A company’s competitors
often learn from new inventions, a process known as R&D spillover; an
agricultural company that sees its competitor begin selling a new type
of seed will scurry to figure out how to produce a similar seed, for
instance. “The big picture here is that this is a big threat to
America’s pre-eminence,” George told me.
* * *
A
focus on shareholder value in the short-term is forcing many public
companies to change their behavior, and at the same time hamstringing
the American economy. But it doesn’t have to be that way.
The
first and most obvious solution is for companies to avoid becoming
public, or to go private in order to avoid the pressure from
shareholders. Michael Dell
did this with his company in 2013. A year after the deal,
he said, in
the Wall Street Journal, that it was a good move.
Privatization allowed his employees “the freedom to focus first on
innovating for customers in a way that was not always possible when
striving to meet the quarterly demands of Wall Street,” he wrote.
Public markets had been helpful when Dell was growing, he said, but as
the company matured, investors were less interested in innovation. As
Dell matured there was, he wrote, “an affliction of short-term
thinking that drove a wedge between our customer and investor
priorities.” Dell avoided that by removing his company from the
intense gaze of the public markets.
Another solution could be to encourage institutional investors and
those who hold big shares in companies to take a stand against
short-term thinking. Many such funds don’t even decide how to vote in
wars over control of a company; they turn proxy advisory services
instead. In the DuPont-Trian battle, for instance, both ISS and Glass
Lewis advised clients to vote for Peltz and Trian, and the California
State Teachers Retirement System (CalSTRS) voted with Trian. Yet the
California Public Employees Retirement System (CalPERS), the country’s
largest pension-fund investor, voted against the changes that Trian
wanted. Simpson, the CalPERS director, told me that Trian’s plan
threatened research and development and that the firm had a “relatively
short term” focus. “You have to be very tough to stand your
ground over periods of short-term thinking,” she told me.
If
other pension funds and big holders of stock similarly speak up, there
could be enough of a backlash against short-term thinking that
activist investors would have to rethink their strategy, Webber told
me. After all, pension funds are investing for the long-term; they
need a company to still be doing well in 30 years, when they have to
make payouts on their investments. “One would like to think long-term
institutional investors would start to push back against R&D cuts,” he
said. “There’s a glimmer of hope there.”
There
are some changes in the tax code that could discourage short-term
investment, as well. The Aspen Institute
suggests setting capital-gains
taxes at a descending rate; the longer an investor holds onto a stock,
the lower a capital-gains tax he could pay. Currently, capital-gains
tax treatment kicks in after one year, but the government could extend
that period so that gains are taxed more if they are from short-term
investments. The government could also impose what’s called a
“financial transaction tax,” that would make it costlier to do
short-term trades and
would encourage longer-term investment, according to the
Center for Economic and Policy Research. The U.S. levied a similar tax
on stock issuances between 1914 and 1966.
Another tack would be for the SEC to change voting rules for investors
so that shareholders with longer-term holdings have more votes;
France, for instance, mandates that investors who have held shares for
two years or more get
double voting rights, unless
two-thirds of shareholders have voted against this rule. Earlier this
year, two Democratic senators (Tammy Baldwin of Wisconsin and Jeff
Merkley of Oregon) also introduced a bill in Congress that would
change regulations governing activist investors. The
Brokaw Act would shorter the
period investors have to disclose that they have bought a large stake
in a company. Usually, investors have 10 days to disclose that they’ve
acquired a 5 percent share in the company; the Brokaw Act would reduce
that time period to two days. This would make it more difficult for
groups of activists to secretly work together to gain a large stake in
a company and then force changes.
There’s also an option for individual investors who want to make sure
the companies they invest in aren’t hijacked by hedge funds looking
for short-term value. They can invest in public benefit corporations,
which are created for purposes other than maximizing shareholder
value. Such corporations, which are relatively new entities, are
required to consider the needs of stakeholders such as employees and
customers, alongside the needs of investors, when they make decisions.
Activist investors are unlikely to bother with such companies, since
they can’t argue that managers aren’t focused enough on shareholder
value; a company is allowed to think of other things.
Ron
Ozer has come up with his own solution. After getting laid off, he
joined with dozens of other former DuPont scientists to create a
nonprofit called the Science, Technology and Research Institute of
Delaware. They want to consult with public and private companies and
use their expertise in chemistry and science to keep performing
research and development. So far, Ozer says, they’re still getting the
organization off the ground. They’ve agreed to keep the business a
non-profit. When a company becomes public, after all, anybody could
come in and, with enough of a focus on the short-term, take away the
part of their work that they love most.
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