QUARTZ
GREAT QUARTER GUYS
Banks are selling private discussions with
corporate executives that could violate SEC rules
December 22, 2017
AP PHOTO/ANDREW
HARNIK
The agency may also
have a few questions. |
FROM OUR OBSESSION
Future of
Finance
New technology is
upending everything in finance.
All US investors are
supposed to get information about publicly-traded stocks at the same
time. If that’s so, then why do some hedge funds spend so much time
and money on private meetings with executive management? The obvious
reason is that they find it valuable. New research from Harvard
Business School shows they’re asking for information that could indeed
violate securities rules.
Previous research has
shown that (surprise!) investors who frequently meet privately with
executives—in the industry parlance, it’s called corporate access—tend
to outperform the ones who didn’t. The meetings take place
face-to-face or by phone and are often unrecorded, with analysts
scribbling down notes. North American and European companies typically
have 100
or so of these meetings a year, according to a 2016 survey
by financial technology firm Ipreo.
To find out more about these
closed-door meetings, Harvard Business School professors Jihwon Park
and Eugene Soltes analyzed 1,200
questions that took place between investors and two companies between
2015 to 2016. The study was focused on 66 private discussions. They
did this by placing a researcher—presented as a member of company
management who was analyzing the firm’s practices—into the meetings.
The academics didn’t disclose the names of the companies, one of which
was a biotech firm and the other a defense contractor. The companies’
answers were also withheld.
In private meetings, they
found that investors asked more questions, and that they were more
aggressive and pointed than during public discussions. Some queries
were philosophical in nature—”What keeps you up at night?”—but others
were looking for information that was more timely than what was
publicly available. Here are some examples:
“How much cash do you have now?”
“Do you know additional sell side analysts that will be launching
initiation reports?”
“Are you done with recruitment or still enrolling?”
“Are the Q2 earnings call expectations still valid?” |
The question about cash
holdings—not the amount that was recently disclosed publicly, but
rather the amount of cash at the time of the meeting—was especially
popular: 26 separate investors asked the biotech firm’s management for
an update on that metric. Answers to this question could give a
helpful clue to the investors who can afford such meetings, while
leaving everyone else out.
Back channel
When public companies in the
US provide information, they’re supposed to do it widely so that no
particular investor has an unfair advantage, on the basis of the
Securities and Exchange Commission’s Regulation
Fair Disclosure (Reg FD). Companies have conference calls
to discuss earnings so that everybody, from investing giant BlackRock
to day traders and journalists, can listen in and potentially ask
questions. These conference calls about the companies’ strategy and
results are easy to access online or over the phone.
But management also speaks
with investors through corporate access meetings. One way this is
handled is through bank analysts who provide buy or sell ratings on
companies. Analysts facilitate these meetings—known as road shows—with
the same companies that they provide ratings on. They arrange private
discussions between executive managers and hedge funds, as well as
pensions and other long-term investors. It provides a back channel
through which investors can, among other things, look for body
language or nonverbal
clues.
Investors have traditionally
paid for this service by sending some of their trading business to the
bank brokerage that provided the corporate access they wanted. Though
this method of payment is beginning to change, particularly in Europe
where regulations are making brokerage payments more transparent, the
corporate access channel remains
popular. Investors around the world spend about $2 billion
a year on these kinds of meetings, according to estimates from
consulting firm Greenwich Associates.
Road shows are a major part
of the analyst gig. An analyst with a top-tier bank told Quartz
privately that bad ratings can jeopardize the broker’s chance to
provide these meetings, while another bank analyst said a
“sell” rating guarantees no road show with some companies.
Corporate
jet analysis
The research showed that
while company management was more interested in meeting with long-term
investors, analysts often found ways to negotiate meetings with hedge
funds. These firms also managed to get a “considerable” number of
private phone calls.
Corporate access, like
some of the scandals that have erupted in the financial
industry, is a potential problem that’s been in plain
sight (paywall) for years.
One 2015 academic report found
evidence that these investors are more likely to buy a
stock before it rises and to sell before it falls. Another showed that
trading volumes in companies tend to go up when they’re having offline
meetings. Researchers also examined hundreds of thousands
of corporate
jet flights—used as a proxy for road shows—and
found ”greater abnormal stock reactions” during such these periods.
While it makes sense that an
ambitious firm is more likely to seek out meetings and therefore
should perform better, it also suggests that those who can’t
participate in the meetings, because they can’t afford them or
for some other reason, are getting left out of valuable conversations.
Yet, there are some good
reasons for these meetings to take place. Fund managers may not want
to tip their hand to others by publicly explaining their investment
thesis. Harvard professor Soltes, who specializes in research on
corporate misconduct, pointed out in an interview with Quartz that
building a relationship between investors and managers can be a good
thing. If a stock has a bad quarter, a money manager might have more
patience (and not immediately sell) if she better understands the
company’s executives. When it comes to hedge funds that trade
frequently or bet against companies by shorting them, “keeping their
enemies closer” can also make sense: Corporate management might at
least like to know in advance what’s coming.
The optics of corporate
access are suspect to say the least, but analysts say it’s common for
companies to simply say they’re not comfortable answering certain
questions in private meetings.
What could be done to help
resolve some of the opportunities for abuse? Soltes suggested that
publishing minutes of the discussions could help. That would at least
help investors figure out whether there’s information being discussed
in private meetings that they would like to know about. The names of
the fund managers could be anonymized to help keep their trading plans
private. Some independent companies like CorporateAccessNetwork offer
these services, which could reduce the conflict-of-interest that
emerges when brokerage analysts facilitate such meetings. Soltes is an
advisor to Access Square, a firm that provides such
services.
It’s worth remembering that
markets have already come a long way. Conference calls between
executives and analysts weren’t widely available before Reg
FD was passed in 2000. If you go back 100 years, companies
like Procter & Gamble published skimpy one-page earnings reports with
a couple of financial metrics. If investors wanted more information,
“accredited stakeholders” had to apply in-person in Cincinnati. When
it comes to information disclosure, the field of play is probably much
more level than even a few decades ago.
Even so, research like this
latest report from Harvard Business School should be a warning,
particularly for individual retail investors. While it’s admirable for
regulators to try to even out the opportunities, these studies
demonstrate that, one way or another, small players will almost always
be outgunned.