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Forum activities relating to Farmer Bros. Co. were suspended in 2007, following the second year of new management.

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Forum Report: Value Enhancement Objectives for 2005

(January 7, 2005)

 

Value Enhancement Objectives for 2005

 

The agenda for Forum attention during the coming year is likely to be focused on the concerns of Farmer Bros. shareholders – and also the beneficiaries of employee and family trusts that hold the stock – about the continuing deterioration of the company’s coffee processing and food distribution operations.

 

Farmer Bros. Co.

Coffee Processing and Food Distribution Operations

 

The current value of your investment, having fallen 43% during the past year from $39.39 per share to close yesterday at $22.56, reflects an understandable marketplace reaction to a steady decline of sales and operating income from the coffee enterprise for which Farmer Bros. is broadly recognized.  But many value investors would consider this an over-reaction, based on the intrinsic values of the company’s component operating business, real estate, and investment funds.  As indicated in the rough analysis presented below, a value range in excess of $40 per share could be realized by managers who are able to simply match industry averages in their use of the company’s assets.

 

A $40 per share value enhancement objective may therefore be reasonable, but many investors would question whether it can be achieved without a change of management.  Under these circumstances it is assumed that the Forum will need to address the current board’s willingness to make changes.  It may also be desirable for Forum participants to develop independent proposals for management changes, including possible joint venture or sale transactions to turn the coffee business over to executives who are capable of restoring its competitive viability.

 

The deteriorating business situation, particularly in the context of recently adopted management entrenchment provisions, will of course require our fresh consideration of information requirements and communication processes.  I will welcome your thoughts on the subject, and look forward to providing whatever Forum support you may require to finally achieve the $40 per share value enhancement objective in 2005.

 

           GL – 1/7/05

 

 


 

 

 

Farmer Bros. Component Values

 

Shares outstanding:

16,075,080

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Dollars (000)

Per

Share

Book value

 

269,698

16.78

Deduct investment funds

 

-198,710

-12.36

Enterprise book value

 

70,988

$4.42

 

Valuation Multiple

 

 

Alternative Enterprise Valuations

 

 

 

Industry Price to Sales Ratio

1.76

340,717

21.20

Industry Price to Book

4.80

340,742

21.20

Industry Price to Tangible Book

8.19

581,392

36.17

Average

 

420,950

$26.19

 

 

 

 

Low Range Value Estimate

 

 

 

Food processing enterprise

 

340,717

21.20

Real estate sale-leaseback (Torrance)

 

20,000

1.24

Distribute investment funds

 

198,710

12.36

Total

 

559,427

$34.80

 

 

 

 

High Range Value Estimate

 

 

 

Food processing enterprise

 

581,392

36.17

Real estate sale-leaseback (Torrance)

 

60,000

3.73

Distribute investment funds

 

198,710

12.36

Total

 

840,102

$52.26

 

 

 

 

Average Range Value Estimate

 

 

 

Food processing enterprise

 

420,950

26.19

Real estate sale-leaseback (Torrance)

 

40,000

2.49

Distribute investment funds

 

198,710

12.36

Total

 

659,660

$41.04

 

Sources:

1.  Company financial data was obtained from its Form 10-K annual report for the year ending June 30, 2004.

2.  Industry multiples were reported for the Reuters Food Processing index at the close of business on January 6, 2005.

3.  Real estate valuation ranges for the company’s Torrance, California property are based on the company’s 1997 Form 10-K report that the building was 474,000 square feet and on a CoStar database report that the land was 878,605 square feet.

 

 

 

 

The Forum is open to all Farmer Bros. shareholders, whether institutional or individual, and to professionals concerned with their investment decisions.  Its purpose is to provide shareholders with access to information and a free exchange of views on issues relating to their evaluations of alternatives.  As stated in the Forum's Conditions of Participation, participants are expected to make independent use of information obtained through the Forum, subject to the privacy rights of other participants.  It is a Forum rule that participants will not be identified or quoted without their explicit permission.

There is no charge for participation.  Franklin Mutual Advisers, LLC, the manager of funds owning approximately 12.6% of Farmer Bros. shares, provided initial sponsorship for the Forum and arranged for it to be chaired by Gary Lutin.  Continuing support and guidance of the Forum is provided by an Advisory Panel of actively interested shareholders.

For additional information or to be included in an email distribution list, send an inquiry to farm@shareholderforum.com.