Value Enhancement Objectives for 2005
The agenda for Forum attention during the coming year is likely to be
focused on the concerns of Farmer Bros. shareholders – and also the
beneficiaries of employee and family trusts that hold the stock – about the
continuing deterioration of the company’s coffee processing and food
distribution operations.
Farmer Bros. Co.
Coffee
Processing and Food Distribution Operations |
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The current value of your investment, having fallen 43% during the past year
from $39.39 per share to close yesterday at $22.56, reflects an
understandable marketplace reaction to a steady decline of sales and
operating income from the coffee enterprise for which Farmer Bros. is
broadly recognized. But many value investors would consider this an
over-reaction, based on the intrinsic values of the company’s component
operating business, real estate, and investment funds. As indicated in the
rough
analysis presented below, a value range in excess of $40 per share could
be realized by managers who are able to simply match industry averages in
their use of the company’s assets.
A $40 per share value enhancement objective may therefore be reasonable, but
many investors would question whether it can be achieved without a change of
management. Under these circumstances it is assumed that the Forum will
need to address the current board’s willingness to make changes. It may
also be desirable for Forum participants to develop independent proposals
for management changes, including possible joint venture or sale
transactions to turn the coffee business over to executives who are capable
of restoring its competitive viability.
The deteriorating business situation, particularly in the context of
recently adopted management entrenchment provisions, will of course require
our fresh consideration of information requirements and communication
processes. I will welcome your thoughts on the subject, and look forward to
providing whatever Forum support you may require to finally achieve the $40
per share value enhancement objective in 2005.
GL – 1/7/05
Farmer Bros.
Component Values
|
Shares
outstanding: |
16,075,080 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Dollars
(000) |
Per
Share |
Book value |
|
269,698 |
16.78 |
Deduct
investment funds |
|
-198,710 |
-12.36 |
Enterprise
book value |
|
70,988 |
$4.42 |
|
Valuation
Multiple |
|
|
Alternative Enterprise
Valuations |
|
|
|
Industry
Price to Sales Ratio |
1.76 |
340,717 |
21.20 |
Industry
Price to Book |
4.80 |
340,742 |
21.20 |
Industry Price to
Tangible Book |
8.19 |
581,392 |
36.17 |
Average |
|
420,950 |
$26.19 |
|
|
|
|
Low
Range Value Estimate |
|
|
|
Food
processing enterprise |
|
340,717 |
21.20 |
Real estate
sale-leaseback (Torrance) |
|
20,000 |
1.24 |
Distribute
investment funds |
|
198,710 |
12.36 |
Total |
|
559,427 |
$34.80 |
|
|
|
|
High
Range Value Estimate |
|
|
|
Food
processing enterprise |
|
581,392 |
36.17 |
Real estate
sale-leaseback (Torrance) |
|
60,000 |
3.73 |
Distribute
investment funds |
|
198,710 |
12.36 |
Total |
|
840,102 |
$52.26 |
|
|
|
|
Average
Range Value Estimate |
|
|
|
Food
processing enterprise |
|
420,950 |
26.19 |
Real estate
sale-leaseback (Torrance) |
|
40,000 |
2.49 |
Distribute
investment funds |
|
198,710 |
12.36 |
Total |
|
659,660 |
$41.04 |
Sources:
1. Company
financial data was obtained from its Form 10-K annual report for
the year ending June 30, 2004.
2. Industry
multiples were reported for the Reuters Food Processing index at
the close of business on January 6, 2005.
3. Real
estate valuation ranges for the company’s Torrance, California
property are based on the company’s 1997 Form 10-K report that
the building was 474,000 square feet and on a
CoStar database report that the land was 878,605 square
feet. |
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