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WALL STREET JOURNAL.
Markets
Giant U.S. Pension Fund Calstrs to Propose Shift Away From Stocks,
Bonds
Calstrs to discuss shifting up to $12 billion to Treasurys, hedge
funds, other investments
Christopher Ailman is chief investment officer of the California
State Teachers' Retirement System. PHOTO: PATRICK T.
FALLON/BLOOMBERG NEWS |
By
Timothy W. Martin
Updated Sept. 2, 2015 9:16
p.m. ET
The nation’s
second-largest pension fund is considering a significant shift away
from some stocks and bonds, one of the most aggressive moves yet by a
major retirement system to protect itself against another downturn.
Top investment officers
of the California State Teachers’ Retirement System have discussed
moving as much as 12% of the fund’s portfolio—or more than $20
billion—into U.S. Treasurys, hedge funds and other complex investments
that they hope will perform well
if markets tumble,
according to public documents and people close to the fund. Its
holdings of U.S. stocks and other bonds would likely decline to make
room for the new investments.
The board of the $191
billion fund, which is known by its abbreviation Calstrs, discussed
the proposal at a meeting Wednesday. A final decision won’t be made
until November.
A wave of deep selloffs
over the past two weeks has shattered years of steady gains for U.S.
stocks. Calstrs isn’t reacting directly to those sharp price swings,
but they are a reminder of the volatility in stocks and how exposed
Calstrs is when markets swoon.
“There’s no question,”
Calstrs Chief Investment Officer Christopher Ailman said in an
interview. The recent market volatility “has been painful.”
Calstrs currently has
about 55% of its portfolio in stocks. The fund’s investment officers
began discussing the new tactic—called “Risk-Mitigating Strategies” in
Calstrs documents—several months ago as they prepared for a regular
three-year review of how Calstrs invests assets for nearly 880,000
active and retired school employees.
Mr. Ailman, who has been
chief investment officer at the fund since 2000, said he hopes a move
away from certain stocks and bonds could help stub out heavy losses
during future gyrations. This could include moving out of some U.S.
stocks as well as investment-grade bonds.
Pension funds across the
U.S. are wrestling with how much risk to take as they look to fulfill
mounting obligations to retirees, and the fortunes of most are still
heavily linked with the ebbs and flows of the global markets. State
pension plans have nearly three-quarters, or 72%, of their holdings in
stocks and bonds, according to Wilshire Consulting.
Many retirement systems
are now looking to get even more defensive as they lower their
investment ambitions and acknowledge a multiyear rally in U.S. stocks
and bonds may be nearing an end. Public pensions earned just 3.4% in
the year that ended June 30, according to Wilshire, one of their worst
showings since 2008 and well below many internal targets.
“We’re not going to
shoot for the moon for returns, because we could lose,” said Annette
St. Urbain, chief executive of the $2.5 billion San Joaquin County
Employees’ Retirement Association, which is also evaluating a
risk-mitigating strategy.
In recent decades many
funds plowed into real estate, commodities, hedge funds and private
equity holdings as a way of offsetting losses from their primary
investments, but that strategy faltered during the 2008 financial
crisis when many pension suffered heavy losses.
Their countermoves in
recent years—which include a bigger shift into non-U.S. equities—have
left funds more exposed to problems around the world. State pension
fund investments in foreign stocks have grown to 21% of their
portfolios on average from 18.8% from 2008, according to the Wilshire.
During the same period, holdings of U.S. stocks dropped to 27.9% of
all public pension holdings from 38.1%. Holdings of real estate and
private-equity funds rose.
The proposal at Calstrs
differs from the defensive strategy unfolding roughly a mile away at
the larger California Public Employees’ Retirement System, which
decided last year to exit all hedge-fund investments as a way of
reducing its reliance on complex holdings. Other pensions seeking to
diversify have beefed up stakes in bonds or international stocks.
One fund taking an
approach similar to Calstrs is the Hawaii Employees’ Retirement
System, which later this month could approve a shift of between 10%
and 20% of its $14.4 billion in assets out of stocks and certain bonds
into what it considers to be safer bets of U.S. Treasurys and
so-called liquid-alternative funds that mimic hedge-fund strategies.
“You take away some of
the human judgment or hubris,” said Vijoy Paul Chattergy, the pension
fund’s chief investment officer.
The Calstrs documents
propose a range of commitments to the new strategy, from zero to 12%.
In addition to Treasurys and hedge funds, the new holdings could
include liquid-alternative funds, according to people close to the
fund. The goal is to find investments that don’t track as closely with
market swings.
“I’ll equate this to the
cost of insurance,” Mr. Ailman said. “It’s the idea of adding more of
a hedging asset class.”
Commitments to
infrastructure projects would also climb, according to the documents.
Holdings of foreign stocks could rise or fall, depending on what the
board approves.
Calstrs hasn't made any
major adjustments to its portfolio as world markets seesawed. Mr.
Ailman said he knew there would be turbulence after Asian markets
tumbled last month but said Calstrs chose to stay put because it views
itself as a long-term investor.
Write
to
Timothy W. Martin at
timothy.martin@wsj.com
|