PetSmart Inc. Downgraded To 'B+' From 'BB+' On Debt-Funded Private
Equity Acquisition; Off CreditWatch; Outlook Stable
Publication date: 09-Feb-2015 08:57:49 EST
-
A consortium of private equity investors led by B.C. Partners Inc.
is
acquiring PetSmart in a transaction valued at approximately $8.4
billion,
funded by $6.2 billion new debt and $2.1 billion equity.
-
Higher debt will hurt credit protection measures, which results in
our
reassessment of the company’s financial risk profile.
-
We are therefore lowering the corporate credit rating on PetSmart to
‘B+’
from ‘BB+’.
-
We are assigning our ‘BB-’ issue-level rating to the company’s $4.3
billion term loan and ‘B-’ issue-level rating to the $1.9 billion
senior
unsecured notes.
-
The stable outlook on PetSmart reflects our
view that the company can
achieve performance growth on cost savings initiatives and some debt
reduction over the next year.
NEW YORK
(Standard & Poor's) Feb. 9, 2015--Standard & Poor’s Ratings Services
lowered its corporate credit rating on Phoenix, Ariz.-based pet
retailer PetSmart Inc. to ‘B+’ from ‘BB+’. At the same time, we
removed the rating from CreditWatch, where we placed it with negative
implications on Dec. 15, 2014.
At the same
time, we assigned our ‘BB-‘ issue-level rating to the company’s
proposed $4.3 billion seven-year term loan, with a ‘2’ recovery
rating, indicating our expectation for substantial (70% to 90%)
recovery in the event of default. In addition, we rated the $1.9
billion unsecured notes due 2023 ‘B-‘ with a ‘6’ recovery rating,
indicating our expectation for negligible (0 to 10%) recovery.
Under the
transaction by private equity owners, Argos Merger Sub Inc., the
acquiring entity, will merge into PetSmart, with PetSmart continuing
as the surviving entity and borrower under the term loan and unsecured
notes. Our analysis assumes the transaction closes as proposed.
"The
downgrade reflects our view that acquisition-related debt results in
higher leverage, resulting in weaker credit protection measures. We
expect the transaction to close by mid-2015 for a total consideration
of about $8.4 billion, of which $6.2 billion will be financed with
debt. Pro forma for the transaction, we estimate leverage of about
6.2x (on a lease-adjusted basis at third quarter 2014)," said credit
analyst Andy Sookram. "Although we believe PetSmart will use most of
its of its free cash flow for debt reduction, we expect leverage in
the high-5x area in the next year. We are therefore revising our
assessment of its financial risk profile to "highly leveraged" from
"intermediate"."
The stable
outlook reflects prospects for performance gains with EBITDA margins
improving to the high-18% area. We believe the company will continue
to invest in e-commerce initiatives, which should help to drive
customer traffic in-store and online. We forecast leverage to improve
to slightly under 6x by year-end 2015 on earnings improvement and
modest debt reduction.
Upside
Scenario
We would
consider raising the rating if PetSmart were to reduce debt such that
it sustains leverage under 5x and we have clarity that financial
sponsor ownership would decline over time. We believe this scenario
could occur if debt declines by about $1.5 billion or EBTIDA increases
by nearly 25%. We would also need to see financial sponsor ownership
decline or be convinced that the potential to add debt for shareholder
remuneration was less likely.
If
PetSmart’s financial sponsor ownership declined or financial policy
clearly shifted from the possibility of further releveraging, we could
view financial policy more favorably and could revise our financial
policy modifier to ‘FS-5’ from ‘FS-6’.
Downside
scenario
We could
consider lowering the rating if operating performance worsens from
poor execution of its e-commerce initiatives, or if competition
increases, especially from large discounters and online retailers.
Such a scenario could lead us to revise the business risk profile to
"fair" or lower. A negative rating action could also result from
material debt-funded dividends to the sponsors that would allow
leverage to remain over 6x on a sustained basis. Under this situation,
we would reassess financial policy to ‘FS-6 minus’.
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