Call for end to quarterly guidance
By Francesco Guerrera in New
York
Published: June 17 2007 22:10 | Last updated: June 17 2007 22:10
An unprecedented coalition of large
companies, pension funds, and trade unions will on Monday urge corporate
America to scrap quarterly earnings guidance in an attempt to curtail the
influence of hedge funds and other short-term investors.
The move, backed by leading corporate figures
such as Jeff Kindler, chief executive of
Pfizer, and Anne Mulcahy, his counterpart at
Xerox, will increase pressure on companies and fund managers to
focus on long-term objectives rather than short-term fixes.
The broad-based coalition, whose participants
range from the Business Roundtable, which represents 160 leading US chief
executives, to the AFL-CIO, the largest union federation, will also call for
an overhaul in compensation practices to reward corporate and fund managers
for long-term performance.
Monday’s publication of the new set of
corporate principles – masterminded by the Aspen Institute, an influential
not-for-profit group – underlines corporate America’s fear that the focus on
quarterly results is hampering US companies’ long-term prospects and the
country’s economic competitiveness.
“The signing of the Aspen principles by such
a diverse group is a milestone in business history,” said Ms Mulcahy. “What
is especially significant is the focus on long-term value and opening lines
of communication with shareholders.”
The principles, which were also backed by
PepsiCo, the Council of Institutional Investors and the five biggest
audit firms, call on companies to “avoid both the provision of, and response
to, estimates of quarterly earnings and other overly short-term financial
targets”.
Instead, companies should talk to
shareholders about their business strategy and their outlook over a number
of years, according to the document, which has been seen by the Financial
Times.
More than half of US companies offer
quarterly earnings guidance and the percentage is higher among larger
groups.
In private, many US chief executives say they
have to provide their own quarterly earnings forecasts because analysts and
investors demand them. Some express the fear that ending the practice would
hit their companies’ share prices or that analysts would put out inaccurate
forecasts.
Hedge funds and other short-term investors
tend to like guidance because the discrepancies between actual and forecast
earnings offers them lucrative trading opportunities.
However, corporate leaders and academics
argue that the pressure to meet quarterly forecasts prompts companies to
forgo long-term investments such as capital expenditure and research and
development.
The principles say companies should look at a
five-year horizon and urge both executives and fund managers to tie their
compensation to long-term performance targets.
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