OPINION | COMMENTARY
How Short-Termism Saps the Economy
Paying CEOs so much in stocks puts their focus on the share price
instead of building for the long run.
By
Joe Biden
Sept. 27, 2016 7:14 pm ET
PHOTO: GETTY IMAGES/ISTOCKPHOTO |
Short-termism—the notion that companies forgo long-run investment to
boost near-term stock price—is one of the greatest threats to
America’s enduring prosperity. Over the past eight years, the U.S.
economy has emerged from crisis and maintained an unprecedented
recovery. We are now on the cusp of a remarkable resurgence. But the
country can’t unlock its true potential without encouraging businesses
to build for the long-run.
Private investment—from new factories, to research, to worker
training—is perhaps the greatest driver of economic growth, paving the
way for future prosperity for businesses, their supply chains and the
economy as a whole. Without it robust growth is nearly impossible. Yet
all too often, executives face pressure to prioritize today’s share
price over adding long-term value.
The
origins of short-termism are rooted in policies and practices that
have eroded the incentive to create value: the dramatic growth in
executive compensation tied to short-term share price; inadequate
regulations that allow share buybacks without limit; tax laws that
designate an investment as “long-term” after only one year; a subset
of activist investors determined to steer companies away from further
investment; and a financial culture focused on quarterly earnings and
short-run metrics.
Consider the evolution in the structure of CEO compensation. In the
1980s, roughly three-fourths of executive pay at S&P 500 companies was
in the form of cash salary and bonuses, and the rest in investment
options and stock, according to an
article in
the Annual Review of Financial Economics. The Omnibus Budget
Reconciliation Act of 1993 included a provision to link executive pay
to the performance of the company. But it didn’t work as intended. By
the time I became vice president, only 40% of executive pay was in
cash, with the bulk being tied to investment options and stock. Now
more than ever, there is a direct link between share price and CEO
pay.
Performance-based pay encourages executives to think in the
short-term. Ever since the Securities and Exchange Commission changed
the buyback rules in 1982, there has been a proliferation in share
repurchases. Today buybacks are the norm. According to economist
undefined, from 2003-12, companies on the S&P 500 spent 37% of their
earnings on dividends and a full 54% on buybacks—leaving less than 10%
for reinvestment.
This
emphasis on returning profits to shareholders has led to a significant
decline in business investment. Total investment as a share of the
economy has fallen to about 11% today, down from a high of about 15%
in the early 1980s, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis. With
interest rates at historically low levels, and business confidence in
the U.S. far ahead of its economic competitors, there should be more
investment, not less.
I am
not blaming CEOs. The business leaders I’ve met over the course of my
career want to build their firms and contribute to the economy, not
simply send checks to investors or buy back their own stock. Sometimes
they succeed. Other times the pressures to lift the short-run share
price are simply too great.
As
these short-term pressures mount, most of the harm is borne by
workers. As any economist will tell you, productivity is typically the
most important driver of increasing wages. But productivity will never
flourish without businesses investing in endeavors like on-the-job
training, new equipment, and research and development. In short,
business investment boosts productivity, which lifts wages.
A
continued economic resurgence requires solving the short-termism
puzzle. The federal government can help foster private enterprise by
providing worker training, building world-class infrastructure, and
supporting research and innovation. But government should also take a
look at regulations that promote share buybacks, tax laws that
discourage long-term investment and corporate reporting standards that
fail to account for long-run growth. The future of the economy depends
on it.
Mr.
Biden is vice president of the United States.